There's the obligatory This ‘plateau’ in rising temperatures does not mean that global warming won’t at some point resume, but there's also plenty of
The new data, compiled from more than
3,000 measuring points on land and sea, was issued quietly on the
internet, without any media fanfare, and, until today, it has not been
This stands in sharp contrast to the release of the previous figures six months
ago, which went only to the end of 2010 – a very warm year.
Ending the data then means it is possible to show a slight warming trend since
1997, but 2011 and the first eight months of 2012 were much cooler, and
thus this trend is erased.
Professor Judith Curry, who is the head of the climate science department at America’s prestigious Georgia Tech university, told The Mail on Sunday that it was clear that the computer models used to predict future warming were ‘deeply flawed’.
Even Prof Jones admitted that he and his colleagues did not understand the impact of ‘natural variability’ – factors such as long-term ocean temperature cycles and changes in the output of the sun.
Yet it has steadily become apparent since the 2008 crash that both the statistics and the modelling are extremely unreliable. To plan the future around them makes about as much sense as choosing a wedding date three months’ hence on the basis of a long-term weather forecast.
Few people would be so foolish. But decisions of far deeper and more costly significance than those derived from output figures have been and are still being made on the basis of climate predictions, not of the next three months but of the coming century – and this despite the fact that Phil Jones and his colleagues now admit they do not understand the role of ‘natural variability’.